Actual property veteran predicts backside is shut for home worth falls

He was the inaugural chief government when the group floated in 2015 however after a interval as government chairman he stepped out of the administration function, solely to return in April final yr, changing Eddie Regulation because the chief government. He’s additionally one of many largest single shareholders.

McGrath made the predictions primarily based on historic proof that cycles in “downward legs” final for about 18 months.


“We’ve been on this [cycle] now for 15 to 16 months and I feel, on common, they final six to seven downward legs and have traditionally been down 8 to 9 per cent,” he stated.

He stated promoting costs in most markets have corrected by between 10 per cent and 15 per cent from their peak in late 2021 and volumes had been a minimum of 20 per cent decrease within the spring promoting season, in contrast with the corresponding spring in 2021.

“So historic information it might counsel we must be at, or close to, the tip of the downward cycle, and for those who take a look at what’s taking place on the street in the intervening time, there may be loads of demand,” he stated.

McGrath was talking after the discharge of the group’s half-year outcomes, and stated that general, “we are going to look again and greater than probably say the underside may very well be someday this yr”.


For the half-year, McGrath reported a statutory web revenue after tax of $1.8 million, down from $6.9 million within the prior corresponding interval, reflecting the difficult market circumstances that had been flagged on the shareholder replace final November.

The transition to a primarily franchised mannequin is delivering a extra dependable earnings from franchisees primarily based on a set proportion of whole gross sales commissions and that can assist to underpin earnings for the complete yr.

The corporate has declared a 1 cent per share, absolutely franked interim dividend, payable on March 14 and it’ll proceed with its on-market share buyback program, the place $3.2 million has been acquired to this point out of the goal of $5 million.

The Enterprise Briefing e-newsletter delivers main tales, unique protection and skilled opinion. Signal as much as get it each weekday morning.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.